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mape tournament

Figures from run e42c6f452fe9 · the latest run · the restaurant

Model · rank 05 of 09

LSTM

lstmHeavy · not in the browser

A small neural network that reads the last four weeks of a dish’s sales and learns what comes next, retrained for every day it forecasts. Sales only.

Avg MAPE

37.3

rank 05 of 09

σ

17.8

lowest: sarimax

OK days

25 / 30

eligible (≥ 80 %)

Day wins

4

of 25 scored days

Hyperparameters

lookback
28
hidden
16
layers
1
epochs
60
learning_rate
0.01
optimizer
adam
loss
mse
scale
max
seed
42
Min history
35 days

MAPE %lower is better

  • 0–20
  • 20–25
  • 25–30
  • 30–40
  • 40+
  • ND
  • fail
  • short
  • day winner

Order · run e42c6f452fe99 Oct 2026

Dataset
synthetic-year · seed 42 · 7dea…
Window
30 origin days · h = 1
Roster
9 models · 3 light, 6 heavy
Engine
py 3.12.15 · uv.lock 5edc…
Result hash
936d 4fbf fe39
All models