Figures from run 7de368b68d88 · the latest run
Model · rank 07 of 07
Same weekday
same-weekdayLight · runs in the browser in v2
Forecasts each dish as its average on the same weekday over the last four weeks. The baseline every other model has to beat.
Avg MAPE
40.0
rank 07 of 07
σ
21.0
lowest: sarimax
OK days
25 / 30
eligible (≥ 80 %)
Day wins
0
of 25 scored days
- same-weekday
- day winner
- MAPE % per origin day · gaps are closed days (ND)
0102030405060708090100110120
Sun 7 DecSun 21 DecSun 4 Jan
Hyperparameters
- weeks
- 4
- Min history
- 28 days
MAPE %lower is better
- 0–20
- 20–25
- 25–30
- 30–40
- 40+
- ND
- fail
- short
- day winner
Order · run 7de368b68d886 Oct 2026
- Dataset
- synthetic-year · seed 42 · 7dea…
- Window
- 30 origin days · h = 1
- Roster
- 7 models · 3 light, 4 heavy
- Engine
- py 3.12.15 · uv.lock 70a2…
- Result hash
- 7949 b973 4836